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As uncertainty grows, people are asking more concrete, uncomfortable questions. Not just whether a global conflict could happen, but what it would look like if it did. This shift from abstract fear to specific scenarios is telling, revealing a deeper loss of confidence in the systems that were meant to prevent such an escalation.
Nuclear historian Alex Wellerstein from the Stevens Institute of Technology weighed in on this issue in 2025. Wellerstein explained that in the event of a nuclear conflict, targets would be selected based on strategic importance rather than symbolism. The first strikes, he noted, would likely target an adversary’s ability to retaliate.
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